|
|
Your
decisions >
Operational
Operational : decision preparation, what is at stake ?
To
prepare a decision requires exploring all its possible consequences, keeping
in mind all its ins and outs and evaluating its risks and opportunity
exposure. Often, corporations require that those tasks meet a consensus
from all involved managers in order to guaranty the relevance of decisions
and the quality of its implementation. A forecasting modelization tool
is required to achieve it. It would enable a quick, easy and collaborative
generation of necessary scenarios. However, classical tools, such as spreadsheets
or CPM tools :
- are
poorly compliant with these requirements : they are difficult to use,
maintain and share,
- dissuade
from willing to anticipating consequences of decision with a forecasting
model because of the cost of doing it,
- push
to rely on one sole analyst to build and maintain the forecasting model
generating therefore relevance and credibility risks,
- make
difficult the transfert of model managemenr to a tier person
- delay
decision maturation because of the difficulty of using them
- make
difficult model sharing between decision makers
- are
useless for an effective decision monitoring (i.e. rolling forecast)
- make
models not reusable for next decision on the same subject
Therefore,
improving decision process quality requires new modelization tools. As
a matter of facts, decision evaluation costs a lot and creates low value
with classical tools. Accordingly, preparation and follow-up tools for
decision makers, even though their graphical user interface did better,
did not improve functionaly since more than 10 years, specially in terms
of consensus making, reliability and time to decision .>>>
|
|